#预测世界杯法国VS伊拉克 The current score I see is that France has an overwhelming advantage of 97% over 3%, but as soon as Iraq moves from 3% to 4%, that's a one-third increase, so it's completely underestimated now. I think around 5% is more reasonable, so it's totally undervalued. Because all you need is to keep betting, and if no goals are scored in ten minutes, the probability will rise sharply. So I estimate that defending in the first 20 minutes can hold up. Since the game lasts 90 minutes, adding two-ninths, multiplying 3% by that, equals 4% to 5%. Selling at 4.5% can earn 50% plus 1.8% in fees. As for losses, even if they lose one goal, it only drops from 3% to 2% or 1%, with at least 1% remaining. So this is a risk-free profit trade. Buy and hold until just before the match, and sell once it rises to 4%. That’s my strategy.