$BTW 24-hour surge of 27.66% to 0.1195, trading volume skyrocketed to $276 million — do you think this is a scam coin season? Wrong, this is the Federal Reserve manipulating behind the scenes. Last night, December non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 3.7%, causing the market to explode: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield shot up to 4.08%, the dollar index rose to 113, and the S&P 500 held firm without falling. Historical data shows BTC has a correlation of -0.63 with U.S. Treasury yields and -0.58 with the dollar index, while $BTW’s beta coefficient to BTC is 1.87 — every 1% jump in Treasury yields, $BTW averages a 6.3% drop. At 2 a.m. this morning, the Federal Reserve minutes turned hawkish, with December rate cut probability cut from 75% to 45%, gold and silver instantly plunged 2%, but is this bullish candlestick in $BTW a hedge against bad news? Let’s calculate: after the non-farm data release, BTC dropped from 42k to 40.5k, but $BTW moved against the trend, with a volume and price divergence of over +18%. I think whales are using commodity liquidity mismatches to pump the market.

Trading suggestion: at the current price of 0.1195, you can add a small position (10% of funds) to chase the rally, with a stop loss at 0.1030 (close to the 24-hour low + EMA20 support), take profit at the first target of 0.13 (resistance from previous high), and the second target of 0.14 (area of high trading volume). If U.S. Treasury yields break above 4.1% again tonight, immediately reduce your position to below 5%. Remember, the Federal Reserve is shrinking its balance sheet by an average of $95 billion per month, liquidity is disappearing every month — this pump might just be a trap for short sellers on the 15-minute chart. Don’t just look at the chart.