BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.22

On June 17th, I indicated that BTC's rebound was encountering resistance. Subsequently, BTC dropped over 7% from 67292, and now it has risen from 62272 to above 65000. The market has reached a critical point, and based on yesterday's video analysis, it is necessary to review the current minor structure again.

The rally starting from 62272 currently has two possibilities:

1. A rebound from the decline of 82850-62272 (shown as the blue downward segment), ending the rebound and continuing downward, with 67292 as the rebound endpoint in this path;

2. An upward move at the same level as the 59130-67272 segment shown, with the possibility of a higher high above 67292.

If three consecutive 4-hour candlestick bodies break through and stabilize above 65300-65400, the probability of the second scenario increases. If the daily candlestick breaks through and stabilizes above 66100 before June 26th, the likelihood of the second trend becoming valid will further increase.

Even if a new high above 67292 occurs, it does not change the fact that the overall trend starting from 59130 remains a rebound; the only difference is the magnitude of the rebound. If a new high is reached, from the breakout of 67292, the entire rebound starting from 59130 could potentially end within a week, then continue downward toward Gann's time window—late July to early August. At that time, I will initiate my #btc first spot position.