#预测世界杯法国VS伊拉克 Brothers, the appeal of this match isn’t just about winning or losing—Mbappé is going for the all-time World Cup goal-scoring record!

After scoring twice in the opening match against Senegal, Mbappé’s total World Cup goals reached 14, equaling Gerd Müller and surpassing Messi (13 goals) and Fontaine to become France’s all-time leading scorer. He is only 2 goals away from the historical record of Klose’s 16.
In Iraq’s opening match, they conceded 4 goals against Norway, exposing defensive problems completely. Facing France’s star-studded attacking lineup—Mbappé, Dembélé, and Olise—fears are that Iraq’s defenders will be dealing with a headache all match long.
France have averaged 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches, while Iraq have averaged just 1.1. France’s average possession rate is 65.3%, with 19.4 shots per game—meaning Iraq will very likely be defending for most of the match.
The only variable is Tchouaméni: he was absent from the team’s final training session before the match, and is not expected to start. Koné could replace him to pair up with Rabiot. But France’s squad depth is enough, so this impact is limited.
My prediction: France 4-0 Iraq. Mbappé is expected to score at least once, and could even equal or surpass Klose’s record in this match.
Polymarket strategy: France to win at 1.10 odds is too steady to be interesting. I’m taking France -2.5, with an added option for Mbappé to score. The market value of France’s four forwards is 26 times that of Iraq’s entire team—this kind of gap can’t be made up by willpower alone.