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#我的Gate交易时刻 Previously, I only engaged in spot trading and futures contracts, thinking that prediction markets were just "gambling on big or small."
Until I placed a bet on the World Cup in the Gate prediction market.
At that time, the market was overwhelmingly optimistic about Brazil's big victory, with very low odds.
I didn't follow the trend to bet on win or lose, but instead studied the data from the secondary market—Brazil's first-half goals and corner kicks.
In the end, I bet on the total number of first-half corner kicks exceeding 5.5, with good odds, and it actually hit.
That trade changed my view of prediction markets: they are not gambling, but a game of information asymmetry.
Who can interpret data more accurately and judge probabilities better will find opportunities in inefficient pricing.
Now, the Gate prediction market has become part of my toolkit.
The market gives you the pricing, and you reprice the market—this is the charm of trading.