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Brothers, the highlight of this match is not just the result—Mbappé is about to break the World Cup all-time goal record!
After scoring twice against Senegal in the first round, Mbappé's total World Cup goals reach 14, tying Gerd Müller, surpassing Messi (13 goals) and Fontaine, becoming France's all-time top scorer. He is only 2 goals away from Klose's record of 16.
Iraq conceded 4 goals in the first round against Norway, exposing defensive issues. Facing the luxurious attacking line of Mbappé, Dembélé, and Ousmane, Iraq's defenders are likely to have a tough time all match.
France has averaged 2.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches, while Iraq has only averaged 1.1 goals in their last 10. France's average possession rate is 65.3%, with an average of 19.4 shots per game—Iraq will probably spend most of the game on defense.
The only variable is Chouaméni: he missed the final training before the match and is expected not to start, with Koné possibly replacing him to partner Rabiot. But France's squad depth is sufficient, so this impact is limited.
My prediction: France 4-0 Iraq. Mbappé will score at least once, and he may tie or even surpass Klose's record in this match.
Polymarket strategy: France to win at 1.10 odds is too safe and boring. I bet on France -2.5, plus the option of Mbappé scoring. The combined value of France's four forwards is 26 times that of Iraq's entire team—such a gap cannot be overcome by willpower.