Last night, Belgium played Iran, and the pre-match odds gave Belgium a 67.6% chance to win.

And the result? 0-0. The big favorite was held to a draw by Iran, losing points.
On the same early morning, Spain won 4-0 against Saudi Arabia, winning convincingly, while Uruguay was held to a 2-2 draw by a small island country called Cape Verde.
The strong are still strong, but the small teams are really not to be underestimated.
But what I want to say most is about Iran.
On the field, Iran managed to snatch a point from the top-ranked Belgium; off the field, Iran has been using the recent developments in the Strait of Hormuz to influence oil prices and sway whether the Bitcoin in your account is green or red.
One Iran, two battlegrounds.
The victory or defeat on the pitch is decided in 90 minutes, with clear odds; but that macro odds, no one shows you the probability, and you don’t know which way the next move will go.
Watching the game is just for fun; money, on the other hand, is much harder to bet than the game.