WLD June 20 Subscription Strategy Complete Review

Analysis Time: 2026.06.22 11:04
Current Price: 0.6334 USDT
24h Trading Volume: 74.2373 million USDT

I. Complete Review of the Original Strategy on 6.20

1. Original Market Prediction by Cycle

Short-term (1-3 trading days)

Path A (72%): Relying on 0.5935 support for narrow-range oscillation and bottoming, oscillating between 0.59-0.66, will retreat upon reaching 0.66 resistance;
Path B (28%): BTC weakens in tandem, effectively breaking below 0.5935, probing the 0.51-0.59 range for a second deep shakeout.

Medium-term (1-4 weeks)

Path ① (70%): Fully retraced and shaken out, funds flowing back into AI sector, stabilizing above 0.686 resistance, aiming for the previous high of 0.723, with volume breakout opening upward space;
Path ② (30%): AI sector cooling down, long-term oscillation within 0.51–0.72, repeatedly grinding the bottom.

Long-term (monthly level)

Main logic (77%): Long-term sector benefits from global AI + decentralized identity narratives, project implementation steadily advancing, bottom reversal trend unchanged, after shakeout will continue challenging previous highs, with multiple times recovery potential;
Low-probability scenario (23%): AI sector collectively retreats, incremental funds withdraw, returning to a long-term sideways range of 0.2–0.5.

2. Practical Operation Guidance Original Text

1. Holding users: Sell in batches as the price rebounds to 0.66–0.68 to realize short-term profits, with long-term core holdings protected by a stop-loss at 0.5143, exit all if broken to avoid deep correction;

2. No-position users: Do not chase highs, wait for a light re-test around 0.59, with 0.51 as the heavy long-term accumulation zone;

3. Risk control reminder: This round of short-term gains is large, driven by speculative capital with volatile swings, strictly prohibit high leverage and heavy positions to gamble on short-term, diversify risk with phased spot deployment.

II. Market Trend Review (Verification from 6.20 to Present)

1. Short-term path fully matches the 72% probability oscillation scenario
On June 21, the lowest dipped to 0.5910, precisely testing the 0.5935 support line and rebounding, current price at 0.6334 within the 0.59-0.66 oscillation box, after touching the intra-day high of 0.6526, pressure caused a retreat, perfectly fulfilling the prediction of “rejection near 0.66,” with no trigger for the 28% probability break-down shakeout scenario.

2. Technical indicator validation
4-hour Bollinger Bands: Upper band 0.6516, middle band 0.6183, lower band 0.5850, price oscillating above the middle band, MACD shows a weak bullish crossover, bullish momentum mild, no volume breakout above the upper band, short-term upward strength insufficient, consistent with oscillation and bottoming;
Daily level: This round started from a bottom of 0.2267, doubling in value, with the historical high of 0.7229 having large trapped profit positions, with strong resistance at 0.66 and 0.686, difficult to break through with volume in the short term.

3. Capital and sector sentiment
AI sector liquidity is mainly stock-based, no large incremental funds entering, 24-hour trading volume of 74 million USDT, representing moderate turnover, lacking sustained volume support for continuous rally, only suitable for range trading, no conditions for a unilateral rapid surge.

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