Are the big players still “playing dead”? Is ZEC’s “skyrocket” a pie—or a trap? Take a quick look! In the crypto world, people aren’t afraid of ghost stories; they’re afraid of “good news” arriving in the middle of the night. This morning, after the US and Iran shook hands, ZEC was instantly “pinned” and blasted upward. Many brothers even said they missed the entry. But don’t rush—this surge, in my eyes, looks more like a “fellow villager, don’t leave” bait-and-pump signal. The cleaver of the bears’ army is already held high!

Basis for entering a position (why short?): Let’s go straight to the “smart money’s” cards. Data shows the long-short ratio of large funds is as high as 173%, but the bears’ average cost is $450, and they’re still losing and stubbornly holding on. Next, look at the liquidation map: above 455–460, there are piles of “corpses” from short orders, but the long liquidation wall is as thin as cicada wings. Instead of going to hit the bears to force stop-losses, the main force is pushing upward with a pin—doesn’t this look like an obvious “fake breakout” washout?

Trading approach: Don’t let the small rebound on the 1-hour scale fool you! The daily MACD is still in a dead cross below the waterline, and the bigger trend is bearish. Aggressive players can short right around 445–450 at the current price—like a hunter waiting for a rabbit. If it crashes into the tree (a resistance level), might as well catch it! Remember: trade with the trend—don’t fight against it! #美伊谈判第一轮结束