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Sudden "Variable" in US-Iran Negotiations! Trump's "Divine Assist" Escalates Middle East Tensions?
As the world keeps a close eye on the US-Iran negotiations in Birken in Switzerland, a dramatic turn of events suddenly unfolds! The talks, originally aimed at resolving nuclear issues and the Strait of Hormuz navigation, were paused after about 80 minutes because the Iranian delegation refused to return.
Is the trigger actually a "big mouth"?
Just after sitting down at the negotiation table, Trump turned around and aggressively pressured on social media, not only warning Iran to stop actions in Lebanon but even threatening, "If talks fail, the U.S. will take 20% of the oil revenue from the Strait of Hormuz." This extreme pressure directly angered Iran, with Tehran responding firmly: unless Trump apologizes and withdraws military forces from Lebanon, no talks!
Deep analysis of the situation:
1. Cooling down does not mean ceasefire: Although Qatar claimed to have made "encouraging progress" and even set up a regular technical working group, this does not mean a handshake and peace; both sides are just "stopping the face-off" and entering a tug-of-war phase of fighting while talking.
2. The deadlock in great power games: The U.S. can't handle oil price fluctuations, and Iran can't withstand the blood loss from sanctions. The core contradictions remain unresolved—The U.S. wants Iran to denuclearize, Iran wants the U.S. to unfreeze assets and restrain Israel. As long as Israel continues to stir trouble in Lebanon, this "60-day countdown" agreement faces the risk of collapse at any time.
3. The market's most honest reaction: Affected by the negotiation pause, international oil prices surged sharply in the dark market, and the global supply chain faces the risk of disruption.
Olive branches of peace and bombs are both on the table; this game of dignity and geopolitics is far from over. The 60-day countdown has begun—will Iran yield to pressure or continue to harden? Let's wait and see!
#美伊局势 #Middle East #霍尔木兹海峡 #International Oil Prices #地缘政治 #Trump