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BTC Layered Bottom-Fishing Logic Deduction: Reject Guessing the Bottom, Layered Position Control
Based on the recent high of $126,200, the current BTC price is $63,872, with an overall retracement of 49.4%.
Historical patterns show that a retracement close to 50% often signals the first allocation window,
but it does not mean the decline has ended, so a five-tier layered response plan is devised.
1. Current range 62,000-64,000: Early deep correction, only small trial orders to avoid secondary downward risk.
2. Panic deepening zone 55,000-58,000: Extreme sentiment clearing, aligned with the 2022 bear market bottom, core zone for phased accumulation.
3. Macro shock zone 50,000-53,000: Valuation enters historically low levels, risk-reward ratio significantly improves, increase position size.
4. Deep bear bottoming 48,000-49,000: Extreme deleveraging pressure point, heavy positioning while maintaining cash for contingency.