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Based on the latest news, today (June 22nd), Bitcoin is generally volatile with a bearish bias, but there is strong support below, and it is expected to fluctuate within the $63,000 - $65,000 range.
Mainly influenced by two factors: geopolitical risks and on-chain data:
· 📉 Biggest bearish factor: US-Iran negotiations falter. This morning, negotiations between the two sides paused, and the Iranian delegation left in protest. Rising geopolitical risks directly trigger risk aversion sentiment, causing cryptocurrencies across the Asia-Pacific market to plunge at the opening (BTC down nearly 1%).
· ⚔️ Internal triple suppression: miner losses (average cost of $64,000 with widespread losses), ETF outflows (a record 617 million net outflow over 30 days, 79% of which are long positions), and bullish momentum is temporarily suppressed.
Both bulls and bears should focus on two key zones today:
· 📊 Upper “pressure line”: $64,600 - $65,500 is a short-term strong resistance (converging hourly selling pressure and the 20-day moving average). If it cannot break above, any rebound is likely just “trapping longs.”
· 🛡️ Lower “lifeline”: $62,800 - $63,000. A break below this could trigger chain reactions of selling.
It’s important to note that before this week’s PCE data (to be released Thursday), the market is unlikely to have a clear direction. Patience is more important than blindly bottom-fishing. #我的Gate交易时刻