Today I reviewed fan tokens. My conclusion is that ATM went up—but the move is too small, and the probability is too low. I can’t buy it, so I’m giving up on the expectation that World Cup fan tokens will rise. I’m not going to make money off this.

Even before the World Cup started, I had already reached this conclusion. A lot of coin friends wanted to stock up on fan tokens to make a quick profit. I said my conclusion clearly: don’t do it. Times have changed. It won’t surge like crazy. You might even end up losing money.

Several long-time students from the group asked me about it. During my livestream, people also asked me. I previously wrote an article to explain it. Now that the World Cup for the US, Canada, and Mexico has started, I reviewed it again: from 6.12 until now, only ATM has gone up. This coin doesn’t have contracts/futures. If it did, I would definitely short it to death!

It won’t go up—so you’re the only one growing. If I don’t short you, who am I going to short?

Was my foresight right or not? Let time be the test, and then I’ll do a follow-up review. I was right, but nobody liked it, nobody left comments, and I won’t gain followers. Instead, lots of people are pretty happy because I predicted it wrong and I’ll end up losing money—I predicted it, so I’m going to act on it.

My thinking is pretty straightforward. I really don’t understand why people can be so stubborn about something that’s clearly wrong—they still insist on believing it’s right as if they’re making a wish. They got it wrong and still don’t take the lesson. As the ancients say: “After one setback, a person gains wisdom.” That’s the most basic principle. The wise use one setback to gain wisdom! I’m not a wise person—I grew up by losing money and learning the hard way.

Ordinary people can’t influence me. Don’t even mention Class 2—teachers and students across the whole school can’t influence me either.