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this guy is the biggest winner of this World Cup, and he did it with just 2 predictions on a single match, then never placed another bet.
it's very strange. he made $9M in net profit with these 2 bets:
> Cabo Verde (+2.5 Spain spread)
> Spain won't win
Spain was the big favorite. nobody could realistically imagine them failing to win.
what's even stranger is that a brand-new user, with no previous betting history, made this bet, won huge, and then never bet again.
he created the account on the same day and funded his Polymarket account through several deposits:
> $699,450 →
> $524,000 →
> $790,000 →
> $384,000 →
> $400,000 →
> $495,000 →
> $500,000 →
> $500,000 →
he used a Bitcoin deposit method that provides no practical way to trace it back to his identity. he clearly went to great lengths to remain completely anonymous.
he withdrew the vast majority of his profits and left only about $500K in the wallet. once again, he used an untraceable withdrawal method.
this person very clearly had information that the market didn't.