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The Kioxia case is really worth reviewing.
It was originally Toshiba's storage business, producing #NAND flash.
In 2018, Toshiba faced a financial crisis, and Bain Capital led a purchase of this asset for about $18 billion.
At that time, no one thought it was a legendary deal.
In the following years, Kioxia faced many difficulties:
IPO failure,
NAND cycle downturn,
price collapse,
and in 2024, it recorded its largest loss in history.
For ordinary people, they would have cut losses long ago.
But Bain didn't.
It held on until the AI infrastructure cycle exploded.
Now the market suddenly realizes that AI is not just about GPUs.
Everyone is buying $NVDA, watching $AVGO, $MRVL, $MU, SK Hynix, thinking the bottlenecks in AI are GPUs, HBM, ASICs, and network chips.
But in fact, AI data centers also need massive storage, SSDs, and NAND.
So Kioxia transformed from a cyclical junk asset into a scarce AI storage asset.
After going public, its stock price surged, rising over 660% at one point this year, with market value skyrocketing.
FT reported that Bain's deal is expected to yield over $15 billion in profit, nearly 20 times the return.
This is the real top-tier capital strategy.
Not chasing hot trends with reckless buying and selling.
But judging the direction before the trend forms, and protecting that expectation with real money.
When everyone else is pessimistic about NAND, storage, and Kioxia, Bain held on.
When the AI infrastructure arrives, and the market revalues storage, it begins to realize its potential.
Whether in crypto or stocks, the biggest gains often don’t come from chasing hot topics.
They come from understanding the cycle bottom and future narrative during the darkest times, then daring to buy, wait, and hold.
When everyone else realizes it’s a trend, the biggest profits have already been taken by those who bet in the darkness.