Last week, Bitcoin's layout gained nearly 40,000 oil with a profit margin of 6,000 points, and today's long-term analysis of Bitcoin is here again! Bitcoin's long-term layout for next week:

1. In-depth analysis of the long-term trend
Bitcoin’s weekly level is facing multiple layers of pressure, with each rebound appearing weak and unable to stabilize at key resistance levels. The buying momentum continues to weaken, confirming that all rebounds are just corrective patterns within a downtrend. Overall, the main trend next week is unlikely to reverse, and the medium to long-term downward channel is fully open. Therefore, all rebounds should be viewed as entry opportunities for long-term high positions; strictly avoid contrarian trades on the left side, and maintain a trend-following approach throughout.
2. Core negative news
1. Macro liquidity tightening: The Federal Reserve’s high-interest rate cycle is prolonged, with rate cut expectations continuously delayed, and dollar liquidity remains tight, suppressing all digital assets.
2. Double pressure from regulation and capital: The US SEC continues to tighten crypto regulation, with spot Bitcoin ETF funds experiencing net outflows for several consecutive weeks, and institutional holdings steadily reducing and exiting.
3. Market capital siphoning effect: The US stock AI sector continues to siphon market funds, risk appetite shifts toward traditional equity markets, and liquidity in the crypto market continues to shrink.
4. Continuous on-chain selling pressure: Large whales and miners are continuously dumping, with major holders transferring chips to sell off, causing ongoing selling pressure within the market.
5. The phase-out of safe-haven narratives: Global geopolitical risks increase, funds flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, and the narrative of Bitcoin as a digital store of value is temporarily losing strength.
6. US-Iran negotiations collapse, triggering global asset sell-off: Negotiations between the US and Iran are canceled, combined with the Fed’s more hawkish monetary policy stance, causing the dollar index to soar to a one-year high.
7. Middle East tensions escalate, safe-haven logic reverses: Iran’s military officially announces the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, banning all ships from passing. Markets initially hoped for negotiations to ease tensions, but conflicts have intensified again.
3. Long-term operational layout strategy
Entry: Gradually accumulate long positions in the 67,500-69,500 range
Stop-loss: Above 71,000
Target: 61,500-54,200
The above is only Yu Ning’s personal analysis and will be updated based on real-time news and data. Brothers are welcome to come and discuss with Yu Ning! #我的Gate交易时刻 #美伊谈判推迟 $BTC