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#预测世界杯西班牙VS沙特阿拉伯 Group Stage Second Round, Spain vs Saudi Arabia: The Lions will definitely not be upset again, but is a big win over the opponent difficult?
Spain and Saudi Arabia are not completely unfamiliar; the two teams have faced each other three times before— and in fact, they also played against each other in the 2006 World Cup. In these three encounters, Spain won all three matches with a total goal difference of 9:2. Additionally, Saudi Arabia has faced European teams 11 times in World Cup matches, but the results were mostly grim, with only 1 win and 10 losses.
Therefore, in such a clearly mismatched game, the real point of interest isn’t whether Saudi Arabia can pull off an upset, but rather how Spain will perform after their first match when facing the upcoming games. According to Opta’s predictions, support is mainly for Spain to win at 86.7%, Saudi Arabia at 4.3%, and a draw at 9%.
So, in this World Cup where many strong teams initially underperform before rising, the only real question is whether Spain can secure a big victory.
The issue for Spain in the last match was the absence of their wingers, but fortunately, in this game, the outside world can expect them to return to their starting lineup and their usual form. So, the team doesn’t need many adjustments—just prioritize returning to the style they had at the 2024 European Championship—more incisive breakthroughs, more accurate passing, and more active running!
Besides that, Spain could also strengthen or improve their threat from set pieces in this tournament—after all, their opponents might try to stifle them by compressing defensive space. Improving their set-piece ability through Merino’s experience at Arsenal might also be a meaningful aspect of this match.
My personal feeling is that Saudi Arabia probably won’t score in this game, especially not to pull off an upset against Spain! The reason being: perhaps, like Qatar, they will be exposed in the second match when facing a stronger opponent.
Saudi Arabia regretfully couldn’t withstand Uruguay’s offensive in the first game, so for this match against Spain, where earning points was never part of the plan, it seems impossible for them to stop Spain from wanting to win—after all, if this is the first game of the group, Spain might still slip up due to overconfidence; but with Spain already upset in their first match, how can Saudi Arabia continue to pull off surprises?
Therefore, whether they park the bus in the back, strengthen their defense, or even commit fouls, it’s unlikely to stop a Spain that will be taking this game very seriously.
Perhaps Saudi Arabia’s more realistic goal in this match is simply to avoid a heavy defeat. After all, winning in the last round could give them a chance to advance as the third team in the group. So, looking at it this way, both sides’ goals are quite aligned—Saudi Arabia doesn’t want a humiliating defeat, and Spain probably isn’t aiming for a big victory either. In this case, a victory by around three goals for Spain should suffice—what more do they need?
Spain and Saudi Arabia are not complete strangers; the two teams have faced each other three times before—plus, they actually had a matchup in the 2006 World Cup. In those three encounters, Spain won all three matches with a total goal difference of 9:2. Additionally, Saudi Arabia has faced European teams 11 times in World Cup history, but the results were mostly grim—only 1 win and 10 losses.
Therefore, in a match with such a clear strength disparity, the real point of interest isn't whether Saudi can pull off an upset, but rather how Spain will perform after their first game as they prepare for the upcoming matches. According to Opta's predictions, the majority support is for Spain to win at 86.7%, Saudi Arabia at 4.3%, and a draw at 9%.
So, in this World Cup where many strong teams have experienced a slow start before picking up momentum, the only real question is whether Spain can secure a big victory.
The last match revealed issues with Spain's wingers missing, but fortunately, in this game, the outside world can look forward to their return to the starting lineup and their form. Therefore, the team doesn't need many adjustments—just prioritize returning to the form they had during the 2024 European Championship: sharper breakthroughs, more accurate passing, and more active running!
Besides that, Spain could also use this tournament to strengthen or improve their threat from set pieces—after all, their opponents might try to stifle them by compressing defensive space. Improving their set-piece ability through Merino's experience at Arsenal could be a meaningful aspect of this match.
My personal feeling is that Saudi Arabia won't score in this game, especially not to pull off an upset against Spain! The reason being: perhaps, like Qatar, they might be exposed in the second match when facing stronger opponents.
Saudi Arabia was unfortunate not to withstand Uruguay's pressure in the first game, and for this match against Spain, where earning points was never part of the plan, it seems impossible for them to stop Spain from wanting to win—after all, if this is the first game of the group, Spain might still slip up due to overconfidence; but with Spain already pulled off an upset in their first match, how can Saudi Arabia continue to pull off surprises?
So, whether they park the bus in the back, strengthen their defense, or even commit fouls, it won't be enough to stop a Spain that will be taking this game very seriously.
Perhaps Saudi Arabia's more realistic goal in this match is simply to avoid a heavy defeat. After all, winning in the last round against Cape Verde could give them a chance to advance as the third team in the group. So, in this light, both sides' goals are quite aligned—Saudi Arabia doesn't want a crushing defeat, and Spain probably isn't aiming for a huge victory either. In that case, a 3-goal win for Spain would suffice—what more do they need?