The prediction market is interesting now. Tunisia, Japan, and the win-draw-loss odds are all around 33.

@predictdotfun The data shows Tunisia at 14, Japan at 65.
Let's play two matches tonight, from a value perspective.
Netherlands, Germany, and Japan are all in the 60s, so definitely go with the Netherlands.
Netherlands was held to a draw by Japan last round, so they will attack fiercely this time, aiming for 3 points, and the odds are still reasonable.
Germany's odds are slightly higher in comparison, so playing Germany isn't as good as betting on the Netherlands; Germany isn't under as much pressure.
As for Japan and Tunisia, Tunisia has changed their head coach, and they need to prove themselves this time.
Japan at 65 might be a bit overestimated; Asian teams have strong overall strength.
This match is hard to call, but you can consider betting on Tunisia for points.
Regarding the lottery, look at Curaçao.
Curaçao is only at 4 now.
Ecuador lost their last match, so they will attack fiercely this time, but they are not top-tier; their strength is there, so they are prone to giving opportunities.
In the last match, Curaçao at least managed a draw against Germany early on, proving they have a chance in defense and counterattack, so they are not that weak.
Netherlands win, Curaçao win.