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Everyone is buying $CL /USDT at 78.58—but the 15-minute RSI just hit 73.17, and I smell a trap.
$CL /USDT - SHORT
Trade Plan:
Entry: 78.44 – 78.72
SL: 79.95
TP1: 77.55
TP2: 76.86
TP3: 75.83
Why this setup?
Why now? The 4h signal is SHORT with 55% confidence, and we’re sitting at the exact entry ref. ATR is tight at 0.57, suggesting a breakout is imminent. The 1D trend is range-bound, so this isn’t a trend trade—it’s a mean reversion play. TP1 at 77.55 is only 1.3% away, but the risk/reward flips if we get rejected here.
Debate:
Are we fading this 15m overbought into TP1, or does the range trap bulls first?