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Bitwise: Bitcoin is significantly undervalued compared to AI stocks, but the Federal Reserve's hawkish risks still remain
BlockBeats News, June 20 — Bitwise analysts stated that although the market still faces hawkish risks from the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin's current valuation metrics still indicate it is in a historically undervalued zone. The Bitcoin Mayer Multiple indicator has fallen below 1.0, a level that historically corresponds to a long-term accumulation phase, thus BTC price exhibits "deep value" characteristics.
However, Bitwise also pointed out that investor participation remains subdued. CryptoQuant's realized market cap growth indicator has been in a bear market phase since late October 2025, showing that new funds entering the Bitcoin network continue to slow down. The 7-day and 59-day moving averages of this indicator have dropped from about 70 in Q4 2025 to 13.9 and 19.1 as of June 17.
Bitwise further stated that compared to AI-related stocks like Nvidia, Bitcoin's valuation is significantly discounted, while the latter has a notable premium relative to long-term trend levels. Meanwhile, potential funding or IPOs for SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI could attract over $200 billion in investor demand, intensifying liquidity competition in the investment market.
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75% on Wednesday, but the latest dot plot shows that nine officials expect at least one rate hike this year, and six officials expect two or more hikes. Bitcoin retreated below $64,000 following the rate decision. Bitcoin investor Jelle said that $64,000 is a key level for buyers; if it holds, the price could continue to rebound to $70,000 in the coming weeks.