After resting for a day or two, I continue the battle. Yesterday was Dragon Boat Festival, I went back to my hometown for a visit, had meals, chats, played mahjong, and drank with family and friends. Actually, life should be like this—relax when it's time to relax!


Today, I analyze two matches.
✅️First match: Netherlands 🆚 Sweden
The game is at 1 a.m. tonight. I checked the data: currently, the Netherlands team is valued at 814 million euros, Sweden at 404 million euros. It’s part of Group F in the group stage. Sweden has 3 points and is ranked first in the group, while the Netherlands has only 1 point and is third. The Netherlands is eager to score in this match.
In the last 10 encounters, the Netherlands has 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, holding an advantage. In the last 10 matches, the Netherlands has 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average possession rate of 58.8%, showing stable offense and defense. Sweden’s last 10 matches are 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with an average possession rate of 49.1%. Overall, their strength is inferior to the Netherlands. The betting odds open with the Netherlands giving 1 goal, with no significant change in odds.
In summary: It’s difficult for the Netherlands to win by two goals and cover the spread.
👉 Recommended scores: 1-0, 1-1
👉 Total goals: 1 goal, 2 goals
✅️Second match: Germany 🆚 Ivory Coast
The game is at 4 a.m. The value of Germany is 982 million euros, Ivory Coast is 522 million euros. It’s part of Group E in the group stage. Both teams have 3 points; Germany is temporarily first in the group, Ivory Coast is second. Germany has won all of their last 10 matches, with an average possession of 66.9% and 14.7 shots per game, showing strong offensive pressure and stable defense. Ivory Coast’s last 10 matches are 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, but their overall attack and defense data and overall strength are clearly behind Germany. The over/under line has increased from 2.5 to 2.75 goals. The home win odds remain stable at 1.40, indicating strong market support for Germany’s victory.
In summary: I personally favor Germany to win at home.
👉 Recommended scores: 2-1, 2-0, 1-0
👉 Total goals: 2 goals, 3 goals
❗️❗️❗️ The above analysis is purely personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice. Play responsibly!
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