Sister Ju 6.20$BTC Morning Strategy

Bitcoin has been under pressure at the 63,800 resistance level for three consecutive days, now struggling to establish a bottom around 63,300. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve is hawkish + ETF outflows continue, the fear index hits 13 (extreme fear), and the short-term bearish structure remains unchanged.

Today's core positions:

Rebound resistance line around 63,800,
First target 630,
Second target 623,
Break below to 618.

Strategy logic:
Below 638 is considered a weak rebound, only trading the quick moves.
In case of a sharp drop to the 623–618 range, gradually buy the dip in a split, betting on an oversold rebound;
If volume breaks through 638, exit short positions and observe.
Avoid shorting unless in extreme conditions; better to miss opportunities than to make mistakes.