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Tom Li has just outlined the three stages of the market in 2026,
1. Now - Late Summer
- The S&P 500 could reach 7,700-7,800 points
- Artificial intelligence and growth stocks continue to lead the rally
- The bull market remains intact
2. September - October
- A "sudden change" in market conditions
- Might feel like a bear market correction
- IPOs of Anthropic and OpenAI
- New stock supply equivalent to about 5-6% of the S&P 500 market cap
- Transition risks related to energy and the Federal Reserve
3. Late 2026
- A strong recovery after adjustments
- Possibly one of the strongest periods in decades
- AI, productivity improvements, and economic growth driving the next rally