#美伊谅解备忘录签署悬念突起

June 18 latest update: The US and Iran have signed the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding” (MoU). Electronic/technical signature has taken effect, and both Trump and Iranian President Pezeshkian have signed. The agreement launches a 60-day negotiation period, promising the immediate and permanent cessation of military actions (including the front line in Lebanon), the lifting of the US Navy blockade, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and discussions on a $300 billion reconstruction fund and sanctions relief.

However, the formal ceremony has been canceled or postponed by multiple parties, and the suspense remains. Will the agreement be discounted at the level of implementation? There are too many variables during the 60-day negotiation period. Iran’s top leader said Trump signed “out of desperation.”

Impact on the crypto market: In the short term, risk-averse sentiment could lift BTC, but as long as geopolitical uncertainty isn’t resolved, volatility in oil prices will continue to transmit to the broader macro picture. Institutional funds will be more cautious, while retail investors are more likely to buy high and sell low.

Personal take from “Old Leek”: This agreement is a positive signal, but don’t get too optimistic. Execution is the key. In the short term, you can use small positions to hedge risk, but in the long run it still comes down to macro conditions and liquidity. Don’t go all in on crypto at the slightest hint of trouble—history has repeatedly proven that geopolitical risk is a double-edged sword. $BTC