Powell's mouth opens, and even the bears' bones go soft.

$BTC Short positions held for three days, entry price 63,928, 10x leverage, just woke up and saw the current price at 62,742, floating profit of 16.139, 18.55%. Should be happy, but instead I feel a bit uneasy.

Back then, I saw the Federal Reserve rate decision, Powell said the rate cut path is still there this year, and the market took it as good news. My first reaction was that the emotions were overblown, rate hikes haven't fully ended, and a rate cut could push $BTC up?

Logically, that doesn't make sense, so I opened a short position, thinking of riding a wave of correction.

And sure enough, it corrected. $BTC dropped from that recent high, I made a profit on this trade. But I didn't feel entirely at ease— the market's excitement is still there, the dollar's weakness hasn't dissipated, short positions are still decreasing, and funding rates haven't turned negative.

This feeling is like knowing there's a cliff ahead, but the car is still sliding toward it, and your hand trembling on the brake.

The key is simple: Federal Reserve decisions are expectations betting, not the event itself. The volatility at the moment of data release is just the first layer; the real big move is always in the second layer—how the market digests this information, where the funds flow.

I timed my short well this time, but next time I encounter this macro-driven situation, I will wait for the first 15-minute candlestick to finish before acting, not betting on the immediate spike direction at the moment of announcement.

Someone in the comments tell me to wake up—should I close this short now or hold on?
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