If you don’t have any $BTC in your hands right now, are you feeling a little restless?

This is exactly the kind of flare signaling a reversal.

In the earlier FOMC sell-off, $BTC got hammered from 67,000 down to 62,000, and the whole network saw liquidations totaling more than $400 million. My account shrank so much I didn’t even want to open it. The group chat was full of cries—some said the bull was gone, some said the bear was here, and some people even uninstalled the trading app.

As it turns out, this morning’s message directly flipped the market’s sentiment.

Oil prices plunged, geopolitical risk was lifted, and funds would be pulled out of safe-haven assets and flow back into risk markets. For $BTC, at 62,581, down 2 points, but in my view this is exactly the final washout.

That earlier wave of liquidations completely wiped out leverage; the fuel for shorting is basically burned through now.

I’m watching the K-line and it feels like the bottom structure is finishing. I don’t have a specific position—I just feel like this level is worth taking a shot on.

Back then, in the FOMC statement, the “further rate adjustment” language was deleted. Wosh abandoned forward guidance, and the dot plot still had nine officials calling for rate hikes. The market’s first reaction was panic, but after cooling down and thinking it through, not raising rates is actually good news—it was just that sentiment got led astray.

Now that geopolitical risk is gone, sentiment will gradually recover.

My own judgment is that at the $62,000 level, there’s limited downside room for $BTC. If sentiment lines up, getting back to 65,000 is just a matter of time. The key is tonight’s US stock market open and the subsequent fund inflow.

Anyway, I’m going to keep an eye on the liquidation zone. Once I see big short orders piling up, I’ll wait for a short squeeze and the ensuing surge.

How many days do you think this rebound can last? Or is it just a dead-cat bounce?

That earlier FOMC liquidation wave cleared out the leverage—now that geopolitical risk is lifted, the window for sentiment repair is here. Funds will flow out of oil and safe-haven assets, and then they’ll look for high-beta targets again; $BTC and alts will be the first stop.

If liquidity recovers, this rebound could last longer than you’d think.
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