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My views on Siren
My opinion on Siren is that the current main force is controlling the market and dumping all chips
There are many trapped orders in the market, and although the current price seems to be at the bottom, it still
tends to be highly correlated with the market. When there are no major profit targets in the market, funds will
trade Siren based on market trends at any time, of course, that is when opportunities arise.
But if you ask me whether Siren is at the absolute bottom now, I can't give you a definite answer. Why? Because in highly
speculative assets, when the market cannot meet the current buying conditions of the asset, liquidity tends to favor
sellers, continuing to push funds out of market value into profitable speculative assets. Moreover, in highly speculative
market assets, when the funds within market value, especially bottom-fishing funds, see profit effects in other assets,
they will exit with small losses, leading to selling pressure. When a severe undervaluation occurs, facing highly speculative
assets, exchanges will tend to buy in based on data, preparing for future leveraged contract traders' long and short
positions, reserving margin for closing positions, and preparing for future liquidity increases to participate in the market
by betting on long or short players. So, when there are no market expectations, its price will continue to fall logically,
possibly adding another zero, or there may be no speculation for half a year. This is a probability determined by the market,
and it has all the potential attributes.
Therefore, when I reserve contract positions, I keep my margin and position reserves outside market expectations to
build a protective moat. The goal is to logically ensure that regardless of who the buyers and sellers are, when they
force short squeezes or close long positions, they will inevitably pay unnecessary costs for closing short positions.
This is the protective moat of contract operations. When this moat exists, losses are mutual, just a matter of who has more
or less. So, logically, the safety margin probability of my contract hedging favors a positive outlook.
Gold and silver are the same. Without black swan events, exchanges and long/short players will buy or sell at floating prices
to eliminate unreasonable leveraged betting players when adjusting their positions. My principle is that when the market
has no expectations and I don't understand the direction, I will resolutely not trade, not even try to guess. When the market
meets expectations, and there are disagreements between bulls and bears, I look around in confusion and set positions at the
least resistance line and in anticipation of unexpected rises or falls, reserving safe margin positions and leverage for hedging.
This depends on my capital capacity, determining the leverage multiple and position size. When I judge incorrectly, I exit with
losses, avoiding liquidation to zero. But all this depends on being within my capacity circle, where I can ensure absolute
probability of upward or downward movement before I trade. Otherwise, no matter how much wealth others have made, or how many
people the market has achieved, I will not do it! I absolutely refuse to touch it. I stay firmly within my capacity circle, only
making operations with absolute probability. When facing market manipulation, I reserve a moat because no one can beat the market or
reach liquidation. I wait for the expected, and stop losses when the judgment is wrong. This game is a fierce battle, full of traps and
deceptions, a jungle where survival of the fittest rules. When holding chips, always follow the mindset of accepting losses and never
relax for even a moment. Gradually develop your trading system and pattern. #我的Gate交易时刻