The previous wave $BTC dropped to 62,000. I was still thinking that this correction was normal, and the old man from the Bank of Japan came out again to talk about raising interest rates. The carry trade funds withdrew, and the market directly gave a secondary bottom.

I don't have any orders on hand, just watching the show. But that feeling is like watching someone else's house catch fire—flames are leaping up, but you know this fire will eventually burn to your side.

I just looked at the liquidation map, $BTC 62,513. The dense area for long positions is between 61,800 and 62,000. If tonight the Bank of Japan's speech is even more hawkish, raising the cost of funds, and the arbitrage positions are collectively closed,

then this needle is heading toward 61,000.

Honestly, I feel a bit anxious. Not because I'm worried about losing money, but because of the pace of liquidity withdrawal.

I still remember the carry trade crash in August, when $BTC overnight dropped below 50k, and the altcoins were bleeding out. Back then, I was on the sidelines. Now, watching from inside the circle, I feel clearer—macro signals are more deadly than candlestick patterns.

My own judgment is, if $BTC can hold around 62,000 and the Bank of Japan softens its stance, there’s still a chance to rebound to 64,000.

But if the expectation of continued rate hikes materializes, and the big carry trade funds withdraw, $BTC will have to find support at 59,000.

Now is not the time to be overly aggressive; don’t over-leverage, and as long as the funding rate is normal, don’t rush to swing trade. Wait until the Bank of Japan’s message is digested.

Do you think the Bank of Japan is really going to act this time, or is it just loud noise with little substance? Share your thoughts in the comments. #我的Gate交易时刻 #预测世界杯巴西VS海地 #STRC跌破面值11%创上市新低