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Sharp decline followed by weak consolidation! The 4200 life-and-death line is in urgent danger, aiming at 4160!
On Thursday evening, gold surged to 4382 before encountering resistance and collapsing; today during the Asian session, it accelerated downward, briefly touching 4198 at a key support level before a slight rebound. Currently trading around 4209, the rebound is weak. Overall, the pattern shows a "surge and collapse, weak rebound, then further decline" single-sided downward trend, with a clear bearish crushing momentum. The 4200 level is the last defense for the short-term bulls; once it is effectively broken, a new round of deep decline will open up.
Comprehensive technical signals are predominantly bearish: TRIX trend indicator continues to form a death cross downward, MACD fast and slow lines are deeply below the zero axis with a death cross, green momentum bars are expanding continuously, indicating full bearish momentum release with no signs of exhaustion, and rebound space is strictly limited. Although there is a brief rebound at the 4200 support, the strength is very weak, merely a technical correction after overselling, unable to change the large-cycle bearish structure. On the daily chart, prices have broken below the EMA15, EMA30, and EMA60 support levels; Bollinger Bands are widening downward, with prices operating below the lower band, indicating an extremely weak pattern. The four-hour chart shows a stair-step decline, with rebound highs continuously moving lower; each rebound becomes an opportunity for bears to add positions.
Steady strategy: Short at the 4240–4260 and 4295–4315 zones, targeting 4200–4160. If the 4200 level is broken, add positions to target 4100 and below. #预测世界杯加拿大VS卡塔尔