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Crypto Brother on Encryption | June 19 $ ETH Precise Strategy
Today's idea: Two-cake short $ETH
Entry timing
First position range: 1685 - 1695
Add position points: 1710 - 1725
First target: 1,650
Second target: 1,620
Federal Reserve hawkish stance: Early this morning, Powell's speech reiterated "inflation persistence exceeds expectations," with the September rate cut probability sharply dropping to 45%, the dollar strengthening and suppressing risk assets (BTC/ETH also under pressure).
Institutional withdrawal from ETH: According to Dune data, Ethereum spot ETF saw a net outflow of $85 million yesterday, the largest outflow in nearly two weeks, indicating institutional lack of confidence in the rebound (more evident compared to BTC).