As of June 18, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) has been impacted by global liquidity tightening, falling below the key psychological level of $64,000, currently weakly oscillating around $63,700-$64,000.

Macro core bearish signals

The current market is experiencing a "hawkish combination": the Federal Reserve hints at possible rate hikes this year, while the Bank of Japan raises interest rates to 1% (the highest since 1995), further withdrawing liquidity. Spot ETF net outflows yesterday totaled $82 million, and market sentiment is extremely fearful (fear index at 15).

Key long and short levels

· Resistance above: $66,400-$66,800 (4-hour Bollinger middle band, a watershed for strength and weakness); $70,800 (daily moving average resistance).
· Support below: $63,750-$64,000 (short-term critical line); $61,800-$62,000 (phase bottom); $60,000 (core bullish defense line and key options level).

Today’s strategy reference

Focus on rebound shorting with defensive low-long positions.

· Short-term high-level (main strategy): If a rebound reaches the $66,400-$66,800 zone and faces resistance, take a small short position targeting $64,000, with a stop above $67,200. If broken downward, target $61,900.
· Defensive low-long (cautious): Only when the price first retraces to $63,750-$64,000 and stabilizes significantly, take a small position to play the oversold rebound, with a strict stop below $63,500, targeting $66,300.

Risk control reminder

Today’s macro shocks cause volatile swings; leverage should be controlled within 5x. Focus on the $60,000 level; a volume-driven breakdown may trigger a deep decline. Strictly execute stop-loss.

This analysis is based on current market data and does not constitute investment advice. Please pay attention to risk management. #感谢关注︱互动︱评论︱转发 #比特币