#沃什首秀美联储利率不变 Yes, at the Federal Reserve's first policy meeting since Kevin Wash took over as Chair (early morning June 18, 2026, Beijing time), the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged but sent a very strong "hawkish" signal overall.

Here are the key points of this "Wash's debut":

· Interest rate decision: Unanimous vote to keep the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75%, marking the fourth consecutive "hold."
· Streamlined statement: The policy statement was drastically reduced from over 300 words to about 130 words, and the previous forward guidance hinting at a possible rate cut was completely removed.
· Shift toward rate hike expectations: The latest "dot plot" shows that 9 out of 18 officials expect at least one rate hike this year (6 of whom expect two or more hikes), with only 1 expecting a rate cut. Market data indicates the probability of a rate hike this year has risen to 83.1%.
· Inflation and reforms: Significantly raised this year's inflation forecast to 3.6%, emphasizing that "inflation has not been achieved in five years." At the same time, five special working groups were established to comprehensively review communication, balance sheet, and other policy frameworks.

It can be understood this way: although there was no rate hike this time, the Fed has clearly opened the door for hikes later this year. The market interprets this as Wash's strong debut demonstrating his "hawkish" stance.