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Overall, the bullish and bearish opinions are highly divided, with a slight bias towards pessimism.
The probability that Iran will stop uranium enrichment before June 30th is less than 50%.
The proportion betting "Will not stop (No)" is 54%, while those betting "Will stop (Yes)" is only 46%.
The market's mainstream view is that reaching a short-term agreement to suspend uranium enrichment is more difficult, and there is no one-sided consensus.