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High market consensus: The next round of US-Iran diplomatic talks is highly likely to be held in Switzerland.
73% of funds bet on Switzerland as the meeting location, with odds of only 1.36x, significantly ahead of the other two options;
The proportion of bets that the talks will not be held before June 30 and will take place in Qatar are both only 11%, with odds of 8.40x and 9.09x respectively, both representing low-probability expectations.
Based on historical mediation records, the market believes Switzerland is the preferred neutral venue for indirect US-Iran negotiations.