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The Federal Reserve has let go! Waller's one sentence caused Bitcoin to plummet $2,000 instantly
Just this morning, the Federal Reserve did something they haven't done in 50 years.
They announced: abandoning forward guidance.
You heard that right. The Federal Reserve suddenly said—
"I'm not telling you what I'm going to do anymore."
On the early morning of June 18, Waller chaired the FOMC meeting for the first time.
Interest rates remained unchanged, still at 3.5%-3.75%. But a key phrase was removed from the statement: further rate adjustments.
It's like your girlfriend only sends "Hmm" without saying "Good night"—you know something's up.
The dot plot was even more intense: nine officials think rates need to rise this year, with one supporting three hikes.
Then, Waller delivered a blow at the press conference:
Inflation is far above the 2% target. I want the market to price based on real economic conditions, not my interpretation.
Meaning: don’t expect me to save you; figure it out yourself.
—The market immediately exploded.
Bitcoin dropped below 64K from 66K, instantly losing $2,000. Gold surged 1.3%, hitting $4,308. The dollar index jumped 35 points.
Why? Because the market suddenly realized—
the person holding everyone’s hand has let go.
Over the past decade, we’ve all been marionettes of the Fed. Now that the string is cut, you have to learn to walk on your own.
Was trading so simple before? Listen to Powell’s speech, go long or short. Now? Waller says "I won’t say anything," and the market’s anchor is gone.
So, in an environment without central bank guidance, how do you adjust your strategy?
First, don’t go against the data.
Waller emphasized "real economic conditions"—so focus on CPI, non-farm payrolls, and retail data. When data is good, he hikes; when data is bad, he might loosen.
Second, volatility trading is king.
What does abandoning guidance mean? Every data release causes wild swings. Direction doesn’t matter; magnitude is your friend. Buy VIX, buy options, don’t hold onto one-sided trades.
Third, the seesaw between gold and BTC will intensify.
Today already showed: gold as a safe haven rose, BTC risk declined. If they do raise rates by 25 basis points at year-end (already fully priced in), BTC will face short-term pressure.
But long-term? Waller’s move is actually a "bone-scraping detox." Controlling inflation is the key to unlocking real rate cuts.
In the future, the market will no longer be swayed by "someone’s words." Pricing power will return to the real economy.