Brother Tong 6.18 BTC Strategy

$BTC Rebound to around 650-655 to enter the market, stop loss above 660, first target 640, second target 630

Wosh's debut, indeed did not disappoint the market

Overall speech is hawkish, and the signals released by the dot plot are basically consistent. Although interest rates remain unchanged, what the market cares about most is never this move but where it goes afterward.

Before the news is released, traders can still tell stories based on expectations of rate cuts; after the news is released, the market begins to reassess the future interest rate path. Wosh's attitude is very clear: inflation risks still need to be vigilant, and there is no urgent reason to shift to easing in the short term.

The market is also very honest. After the good news and expectations are priced in, prices begin to return to reality. For risk assets, the longer high interest rates persist, the greater the valuation pressure.

Rebound faces resistance, decline indicates continuation. Until the trend gives a new signal, respect the original rhythm #沃什首秀美联储利率不变