Daily Cryptocurrency Analysis: Ripple (XRP)

Market Performance and Analysis:

According to the latest data as of June 18, 2026, XRP has experienced a deep correction earlier (about 40% decline this year), and recently, driven by the advancement of significant legislation and favorable Japanese tax reforms, it has been trading in a range of $1.19–$1.20, with bulls and bears vying.

Price Dynamics: Currently trading around $1.20. Recently, due to the Iran-U.S. peace agreement (reopening the Strait of Hormuz), risk appetite warmed, and the price surged by 8% with increased volume to reach $1.29. Subsequently, ahead of the FOMC rate decision chaired by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, the market experienced a normal risk-off correction.

Technical Perspective: In the short term, defending the $1.19 level (the 200-day moving average around $1.12, forming a strong long-term support). The resistance zone of $1.28–$1.31 has shifted from a previous consolidation bottom to a critical resistance band. Bulls need a volume breakout above this zone on the daily chart to reverse the medium-term bear market structure and aim for $1.45.

Major Positive Developments and Changes:

"CLARITY Act" Decision Battle on July 4: The U.S. "CLARITY Act," aimed at regulating the digital asset market structure, has passed the House and crossed the Senate Finance Committee. Market expectations suggest over a 60% chance it will be signed into law by the White House before July 4. If enacted, this law will permanently establish XRP as a "digital commodity" under federal law, unlocking compliant buying from traditional pension funds and sovereign wealth funds.

Significant Tax Reforms and Compliance in Japan: Japan's House of Representatives passed a new law classifying XRP and other mainstream cryptocurrencies under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (equivalent to stocks), with the maximum combined tax rate reduced from 55% to a flat 20% capital gains tax, greatly stimulating inflows of institutional and retail capital from Asia.

Spot ETF Continues 6 Weeks of Net Inflows: Despite a weak overall market, the U.S. spot XRP ETF (launched in November 2025) has accumulated $1.44 billion in inflows. In May, it saw the first institutional positions from Bank of America and UBS, indicating systematic low-cost entry by institutional investors.

Disclaimer: For reference only, not investment advice.

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