🏦 The Fed Causes Shockwaves "Hawkish" in June Meeting: Risk of Interest Rate Hikes Returning

The June meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) sent a more hawkish signal than market expectations. The interest rate forecast chart (Dot Plot) shows many Fed officials leaning toward the scenario of rate hikes resuming in 2026, while the policy statement was significantly shortened, increasing uncertainty for financial and crypto markets.
📈 Dot Plot shifts to a "hawkish" trend
* 9/18 Fed officials forecast at least one rate hike in 2026.
* 6/18 officials forecast more than one rate hike.
* Only 1 official forecast that the Fed will cut rates.
➡️ This is a significant change from the March forecast, when the market still expected the Fed to cut rates at least once.
📝 The policy statement was completely rewritten
* Significantly shortened policy statement.
* Removed many detailed guidance on interest rate outlook.
* Reduced the market’s directional guidance.
This makes it difficult for investors to accurately predict when and under what conditions the Fed will adjust monetary policy.
🪙 Impact on the Crypto Market
* The "long-term high interest rate" scenario is reinforced.
* Risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins may continue to face pressure.
* Crypto ETF capital flows risk further weakening after large withdrawals recorded since mid-May.
* Bitcoin currently has a relatively high correlation with U.S. stocks, making the crypto market more sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations.