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Launch
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🚨US MARGIN DEBT IS EXPLODING HIGHER:
US margin debt spiked another $112 BILLION last month to $1.4 TRILLION, an all-time high.
Since 2023, the amount of debt used for trading has more than DOUBLED.
Historically, such a rapid surge in margin debt have preceded major bear markets:
It peaked in March 2000, just months before the Dot-Com collapse, or in July 2007, 3 months before the S&P 500 topped out ahead of the Financial Crisis.
Most recently, margin debt peaked in October 2021, 2 months before the S&P 500's December 2021 high, preceding a -25% drawdown through September 2022.
History does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes.