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🔥🔥🔥Breaking News! It's almost 2 o'clock! Powell's first speech is coming!
Brothers who stayed up until this point, are not waiting for the Federal Reserve decision, but waiting for this wave of injections to wake themselves up.
The interest rate staying at 3.50%-3.75% is basically a sure thing—but that's not the main point.
The dot plot is the real "king bomb" tonight: in March, there was still a slight hope for rate cuts, but tonight it will most likely be wiped out entirely, and there might even be a rate hike branch. CME data shows that market expectations for rate cuts this year have already disappeared.
Even more interesting is Powell himself—this person has long criticized the dot plot, and he might not even submit a personal forecast, becoming the first Federal Reserve chair in 14 years to do so. Without a "script," the market is all guesswork, which is more stimulating than the rate hike itself.
Let's look at the market:
Bitcoin $BTC currently fluctuates around 65,800, with intraday highs and lows of 66,426 to 64,514, a typical "pre-decision volatility pattern." EMA5 and EMA10 are glued together, RSI6 has risen from 37 to 57, MACD has shifted from negative to positive—bulls are gathering strength, but the 66,000-66,500 range is a tough nut to crack.
The second one $ETH is even more interesting, around 1,774, with the intraday low at 1,739. Bollinger Bands are narrowing more and more, EMA5/10/20 are all stuck in a tiny range of 1,770-1,775—this indicates a decision point. RSI6 dropped from 58 to 35 and then back up to 53, MACD formed a bullish crossover below zero and turned red—are bulls preparing a big move? Or is it a trap? No one knows, but volatility will definitely be high.
Remember one rule: after the FOMC meeting, the market often behaves unpredictably. Tonight, either they will inject liquidity to sweep stop-losses or directly give a direction. Don't rush to buy or sell; wait until Powell finishes speaking at 2:30, then wait 15 minutes for the market to digest before acting.
In this market, surviving is more important than how much you make.
👀Comment below, are you more long or short tonight?
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