#我的Gate交易时刻 📅 June 18, 2026 Gold Price Trend Overview

💰 Today's Latest Quote (06/18)

Commodity Price Change
International Spot Gold (XAU/USD) ≈$4,356/ounce ▲+0.58%
Domestic Spot Au9999 ≈¥940.8/gram ▲+0.17%
Shanghai Gold T+D ≈¥945.9/gram ▲+0.55%

📈 Recent Trend Review

- Early June: Influenced by unexpectedly strong US non-farm payrolls and rising Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, gold prices rapidly fell from over $5,000 to around $4,020 (about ¥873/gram domestically), giving back gains for the year.
- Recent days (6/12-6/18): US and Iran reached a preliminary ceasefire → oil prices fell → inflation expectations cooled → rate hike expectations weakened → US dollar weakened, gold prices rebounded technically from $4,020, closing positive for 4 consecutive days, currently oscillating in the $4,330-$4,360 range, awaiting direction.

🔍 Key Technical Levels

- Resistance above: $4,360 → $4,380 → $4,450 (4380 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line; effective breakthrough may challenge $4,500+)
- Support below: $4,300 → $4,280 → $4,250 → $4,020 (4300 is an important recent rebound support)
- Indicators: Daily 5-day/10-day moving average golden cross, MACD green bars shrinking slightly bullish, RSI neutral, short-term oscillating rebound awaiting breakout pattern.

🌍 Core Driving Factors

- ✅ Support: Continuous central bank gold purchases globally (People’s Bank of China has increased holdings for consecutive months), de-dollarization, US debt pressure, lingering geopolitical uncertainties.
- ⚠️ Suppression: Fed’s high interest rate expectations (new Chair Waller’s hawkish concerns), high US dollar and Treasury yields, previous long profit-taking, AI sector capital diversion.

📅 Short-term Focus

Early morning June 18, US Federal Reserve June FOMC decision (Waller’s first appearance):

- Dovish/Neutral → Bullish exhaustion, gold may surge to $4,380-$4,450
- Clearly hawkish (rate hike retained) → US dollar rally, gold may retest $4,250-$4,300

⚠️ The above is a summary of market analysis and information, not investment advice. Gold is volatile; please manage positions and stop-loss carefully.