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Yesterday's two matches hit Austria's minus, but France's score was super clutch by Mbappé, continuing to maintain a positive return, which is very important in the long-term World Cup. I hope the logic I share can serve as a reference for everyone. I do not recommend playing so-called financial management bets; if you want to gamble, do it properly. Football is mainly about fighting. Today, I mainly recommend Portugal vs. Congo, England vs. Croatia, two matches, stay tuned!
Portugal vs. Congo
This match is very exciting. Cristiano Ronaldo's influence is naturally self-evident, Portugal's midfielders with back-to-back Champions League titles bring traffic. Our entry point is also Portugal's midfielders. Portugal's starting double defensive midfielders Vitinha and João Neves, as Paris teammates, are naturally in sync, but as purely double defensive midfielders, their defensive ability is completely insufficient. Neither of them is a purely defensive midfielder; once counterattacked, the gates are wide open. In Paris, this tactic relies on the tireless running and defense of Paris's front line, but in Portugal, Ronaldo is completely non-defensive due to age. The substitute Ramos also played 40 minutes in the Champions League final, almost never touching the ball. This is also why the head coach Martinez still insists on Ronaldo starting; Ramos only played in Ligue 1 for Paris, crushing opponents, but his stats are not very impressive. Portugal's overall defensive personnel are very few, and Mendes and possibly starting Cancelo are more attack-oriented players. The two teams are unlikely to draw.
I favor the big game, can aggressively chase the over 3.25, betting on high odds of 2.1+ times.
England vs. Croatia
Similarly, this England team is also very exciting. Head coach Tuchel, despite opposition, painfully dropped stars like Foden and Palmer, and brought in a bunch of less famous but tactically disciplined players. This is very controversial, but Tuchel, who overthrew the five-time champion Manchester City, makes very respectable choices.
In this World Cup, every forward in England is a defensive expert in their position. Striker Kane often drops back to midfield; right winger Saka even played right-back in the last European Championship; left winger Gordon was bought by Barcelona for his active defense at Newcastle. Attacking midfielder Bellingham at Real Madrid is the scapegoat for the two princes Vinicius and Mbappé. Rice and Anderson are both pure defensive midfielders at their clubs and rarely participate in attack. This shows Tuchel's very pragmatic approach. However, the over/under for this match is actually hard to define. Kane is in great form, continuing to prove himself in the midfield and front line, and the real weapon, left-back Orelly, has even scored twice against Arsenal—something only he has achieved in recent years. Plus, the pre-match odds suddenly increased England's win payout, which feels a bit contrived.
I favor the match score 2:0 or 2:1.
The reasoning and logic are for your reference only. Stay alert and always be rational.
These 🙏 days, more friends have joined the terrace, and I am here with everyone in the group to share a drink.
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