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I am an ETH market maker trader, now I only tell you the truth.
Your current ETH chart shows: the price is around 1,790 (the specific level comes from the previous ETH chart you sent me, which is also the current trading range), within 24 hours it rose from 1,653 to 1,826, currently testing repeatedly in the 1,790-1,810 range. How the market will move next, and my actual operations.
Let's start with the most important question.
First, have you noticed what is happening in the market?
This is not an oversold rebound after a decline. It is a premeditated short squeeze.
From 1,653 to 1,826, during this rebound:
· Multiple volume-increasing bullish candles appear on the 15-minute chart, with decreasing volume on pullbacks
· At key resistance levels (1,760, 1,800), no large bearish candles appear; instead, small-bodied candles sideways digest
· The open interest in the futures market for shorts did not significantly decrease during this rebound — indicating that many short positions are still being held
This combination suggests: the bulls have completed the first wave of building positions and are slowly controlling the market to push higher. They are waiting for an opportunity.
What is the opportunity? Three upcoming news events:
1. Ethereum spot ETF staking yield proposal, likely to release positive news within 72 hours;
2. Possible hints of interest rate cut path in Federal Reserve officials' speeches;
3. Large institutional rebalancing at quarter-end, with liquidity injection expectations.
The main players are exploiting the emotional vacuum, secretly pushing the price to a uncomfortable level — where shorts are reluctant to cut losses, and longs dare not chase higher.
Second, the three possible market movements I predict within the next 24 to 72 hours:
The most probable (about 55%): Range-bound accumulation
Bounce between 1,760-1,850, first pushing up to 1,830-1,840, then dropping back to 1,780, repeating twice. This flushes out chasing longs and stubborn shorts together. During this phase, retail traders will feel "no matter what I do, I’m wrong." My actions during this phase: buy low at 1,760-1,770, sell high at 1,830-1,840, with positions at about 60% of normal, waiting for confirmation of direction.
The second most probable (about 30%): Fake breakout upward to induce longs
Break through 1,850 with volume, surge to 1,880-1,900, attracting long entries, then quickly fall back below 1,800. The goal is to trap retail longs at the top and wipe out short stop-losses above 1,850 — the market maker’s favorite dual-direction harvest. My actions during this phase: short at over 1,880 with a stop-loss at 1,920.
The lowest probability but most dangerous (about 15%): Direct breakdown
If negative news hits (e.g., ETF staking proposal rejection, or macro data significantly bearish), and the price breaks below 1,760 and closes under 1,740, this is not a shakeout but a trend restart. My actions: short on breakdown below 1,740, with the first target at 1,700.
Third, my actual orders now (for your reference):
· First order: buy long at 1,770, half of usual position, stop-loss at 1,740, take profit at 1,830
· Second order: short at 1,850, half of usual position, stop-loss at 1,882, take profit at 1,780
· Third order: conditional order: if it first hits 1,830, I take profit on the long, and keep the short order active for waiting
These are position and direction plans, but final orders depend on confirmation from candlestick signals — not mechanical placement.
If the market doesn’t reach my levels, I won’t place orders. Three trades a day are enough; more means more mistakes.
Finally, I want to tell you:
Retail traders always want to catch every wave, feeling they lose if they don’t trade. But you must understand a harsh fact: a large part of the market maker’s profits do not come from correct directional judgment, but from the wear and tear caused by retail traders switching between fear and greed.
Your losses are usually not because you misread the direction, but because you entered at the wrong place, exited driven by emotion, added to losing positions, or took profits too early.
What I’ve shared is my personal trading deduction based on the current market structure, volume-price relationship, and news expectations. I am sharing a market maker’s thinking framework, not telling you to follow my trades.
The only certainty in the market is that it is never certain. $ETH
I can give you a framework, but I cannot give you a guarantee.
Ultimately, the person pressing the buy and sell buttons is yourself.
Profit and loss are your responsibility.
If you have anything else to confirm, just ask. #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #Gate现货交易量增幅全球第一 #SpaceX市值超越微软跻身全球前五