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Early morning FOMC decision just announced, the market experienced a sharp shakeout, and the current market logic has changed. Here is a concise core strategy:
📊 Overnight Situation Overview
· Decision result: The Federal Reserve paused interest rate hikes, but the dot plot shows one more hike this year and a delay in rate cuts, overall hawkish.
· Market reaction: Bitcoin rapidly dropped below 64,000 then violently rebounded, current price around 67,200. This is a typical “buy the rumor, sell the news” short covering, not a trend reversal.
📈 Key Levels for Today
· Strong resistance above: 68,000 - 68,500 (the rebound survival line, only a breakout can turn strength).
· Support below: 65,500 - 66,000 (a safe retracement zone, a break below means returning to weakness).
💡 Trading Ideas for Today
Volatility increases after the news release, it’s recommended to watch more and act less, waiting for a retracement confirmation:
· Conservative long: Wait for the price to retrace to 65,500 - 66,000 without breaking and stabilize before entering, stop loss below 64,500, target near 68,000.
· Aggressive short: If the rebound is clearly blocked at 68,000 - 68,500 (long upper shadow), try a small short position, stop loss at 68,800, target 66,500.
· Position management: For those chasing longs at high levels, consider reducing positions around 68,000; for low-level shorts, be sure to exit with a stop loss before 68,000, do not hold through.
🛡️ Core risk control: After the news, market volatility is very high, leverage should not exceed 3x, and strict stop losses are required for each trade. The current move is a rebound, not a reversal, avoid heavy long positions at high levels. #感谢关注︱互动︱评论︱转发