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Current Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase before a key macro event, with market sentiment largely cautious. The overall trend is dominated by tonight’s (June 18 early morning) Federal Reserve FOMC decision.
📊 Core Market Scan
· Price Status: About $65,700 - $65,800, supported above $65,000, but rebound strength is limited.
· Structural Qualitative: Weak recovery after daily downtrend. Moving average system is in a bearish alignment, the long-term downtrend remains unbroken, and rebounds should not be seen as reversals.
· Macro Focus: Market awaits the June FOMC meeting results (dot plot and Powell’s speech), which is a critical watershed for short-term movement.
· Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty remains after the US-Iran agreement; Israel is accused of violating the ceasefire, suppressing risk appetite.
📈 Key Support and Resistance
· Resistance Above: $66,800 - $67,300 (first resistance zone, also the intraday dividing line of strength and weakness); $70,000 - $70,300 (key medium-term resistance).
· Support Below: $65,000 (current core support, a volume breakdown could trigger long liquidations); $64,000 (lifeline of rebound structure).
💡 Today’s Strategy Reference
Before the news is released, likely range-bound oscillation between $64,800 - $67,000. Operation advice: strictly control positions, quick in and out.
· Long Opportunities: If price dips to the $64,800 - $65,000 support zone and stabilizes, consider small long positions, target $66,500 - $67,000. Stop-loss should be strictly placed below $64,000.
· Short Opportunities: If price rebounds to the $67,000 - $67,300 resistance zone and faces pressure (long upper shadow appears), consider small short positions, target $65,500 - $65,000.
· Risk Avoidance: Do not hold heavy positions before the FOMC decision; it’s best to wait until the direction is clearer before entering. If price consolidates between $65,000 and $67,000, mainly observe.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Volatility may be extreme before and after the FOMC announcement. Please reduce leverage and strictly set stop-losses. #以太坊 #每日分享 #感谢关注︱互动︱评论︱转发