Within the prediction pool, 92% of the funds are betting that Anthropic will launch the AI model with the strongest overall performance by the end of June, with odds of only 1.08x—making it the most certain target in the eyes of the market. Google and OpenAI combined account for only 8% of the bets, and the market generally doesn’t look favorably on the competitiveness of their new versions.

ANTHROPIC-0.53%
GOOGLX0.98%
OPENAI-0.41%
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