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🔥 Big news! Just now, two super important signals have simultaneously materialized!
The full US-Iran agreement is about to be released, and WTI crude oil once plummeted by 7%;
On the other side, Wosh today welcomed the Fed Chair's debut, with the market generally expecting interest rates to remain unchanged.
But the real drama is—federal funds futures show that the market is betting over an 80% chance of rate hikes before the end of 2026, with almost zero probability of cuts. Someone hoping for "loose" policy is facing a market with "rate hike expectations exploding." Can you believe this script?
Let's look at the market.
$BTC Current price around 65,785, with a 24-hour range from 66,976 to 65,324. RSI6 is around 46, MACD still hovers below the zero line, DIF -86, DEA -73—typical night before a directional choice. The 65,000 level is the bottom line for the bulls; if broken, look at 64,300 or even 63,500; if held, 67,800-68,300 is possible.
$ETH Relatively resistant to decline, oscillating around 1,792, with a 24-hour low of 1,757. RSI6 about 46, MACD just experienced a golden cross and turned positive, with greater short-term elasticity than BTC.
The most explosive is $BSB
This meme coin surged violently from around 0.185 to a new high of 0.5365, with a 24-hour trading volume of 356 million USDT, astonishing volatility—highest at 0.5983, lowest at 0.3921. The 4-hour RSI once soared to 82.89, severely overbought. Currently retracing to around 0.47, the 1-hour MACD shows a dead cross with decreasing volume, with clear bullish support in the 0.47-0.48 range. Whether it can stabilize here will determine if the next wave pushes to 0.56 or drops back to 0.44.
The Bank of Japan just raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1%, the highest since 1995. Historically, yen rate hikes often trigger carry trade liquidations, but this time the market reaction is muted—BTC remains steady around 66,000. Market expectations of the expected negative impact are being selectively ignored.
Regarding ETFs, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen seven consecutive days of net inflows, with a total net inflow of $216 million yesterday, and BlackRock's IBIT alone saw a daily inflow of $639 million. Institutions are quietly accumulating.
On the macro front, the US-Iran agreement reduces geopolitical risk premiums, and the plunge in oil prices suppresses inflation expectations, indirectly leaving room for monetary policy. Even if Wosh's debut leans hawkish, as long as there are no unexpected moves, the market might interpret it as all negative news being exhausted.
Remember: When negative news is exhausted, it becomes positive; full expectations create opportunities.
Do you think Wosh will turn hawkish or dovish tonight? Is this pullback in BSB a chance to buy in or a top to stand guard?
See the real action in the comments 👇
#沃什FOMC首秀:降息当真推迟至2027年? #美伊协议全文即将公布,原油一度跌7% #我的Gate交易时刻