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I stand to lose -$100,000 on this Polymarket prediction of there “NOT being a permanent peace deal on June 15th.
First we had the MicroStrategy controversy of whether or not they sold bitcoin before May 31st, which they in fact did. The filing on June 1st said they executed a sale of 32 bitcoin on may 26th,but the market resulted as a “NO”.
Here we are again but at a larger scale of over $350 million at stake with the US Iran Permanent peace deal.
There is an announcement of a 60 day cease fire for negotiations to occur on June 19th.
Yet Polymarket has chosen “YES” to a permanent peace deal before June 15th.
This is drawing more and more concern towards the negative issues that come with “decentralized” voting as the majority of control comes down to a handful of anonymous whales that can manipulate voting outcomes.