The next Bitcoin halving date is April 2028, which basically overlaps with the previous one. Each 16 months after a Bitcoin halving marks a major bull cycle, but instead of trading much during the bull phase, I usually don’t, because within those 16 months after the halving, Bitcoin first oscillates from the mountainside up to the peak, and then comes back down—the amplitude is too big, and contracts are easy to wear out. So every 4 years, my focus is mainly on the alternating bear-and-bull cycles during the period leading up to the Bitcoin halving—the small bull cycle before it—meaning from June to July this year through March 2028. After that, I wrap it up and stop trading; I focus on China A-shares and U.S. stocks instead. After April 2028, I won’t trade contracts anymore. I’ll hold BTC spot and just wait for opportunities to sell at higher prices in 2029.

From June to July this year through March 2028—over this 1.5-year period—there’s a continuous one-way uptrend lasting for 5 months. If you catch it and go all in, you can get rich quickly. In the previous cycle, by February 2024 I was basically free, so I started making large withdrawals from 2024. Therefore, if you still can’t make money or get rich during this 1.5-year period, then even if BTC enters a big bull market in 2029, I believe you still won’t be able to get rich. By then the price will be even more volatile: the higher the volatility, the easier it is for you to lose control, leading to profits being significantly given back, or even turning into losses.