World Cup: Spain stages a stunning upset. Fishalive made an accurate prediction within the first 8 minutes before kickoff to earn about $9 million. Avenger fought hard for thousands of rounds, only to be wiped out overnight.

Predict.fun data from the Predict.market platform shows that the World Cup has just seen an astonishing upset: Spain, the tournament’s top favorite to win, drew 0-0 with the World Cup newcomer Cape Verde in the early hours of this morning, delivering the biggest upset of this World Cup so far. Before the match, Spain had a 92% chance of winning, a 6% chance of drawing, and Cape Verde a 2% chance of winning.

After enduring painstaking predictions across more than 1,000 matches, the trader avenger once managed to profit $34,000. Today, due to a heavy position on Spain to win, a single transaction led to a loss of $1.6 million.

Notably, another trader, Fishalive, acted in a highly suspicious way: Fishalive earned about $9 million by predicting that Spain would not win. His first trade was placed 8 minutes before the match began, using $4.5 million for the bet, and all of the funds came from a Coinbase wallet that had been newly funded and had no prior trading history.